With
victories in several key Senate races last night, Republicans will take
control of both chambers of Congress heading into the final two years
of the Obama presidency -- a balance of power that sets up a
much-changed dynamic for federal higher education policy-making in the
coming months.
The change will likely be something of a double-edged sword for
colleges and universities, higher education advocates said. On the one
hand, colleges will find more help from Republicans in their
longstanding efforts to roll back federal requirements they view as
burdensome. At the same time, higher education may face tougher battles
over federal funding for academic research and student aid programs, as
GOP majorities embrace more austere budget caps.
Republican leadership of the Senate is also likely to complicate the
Obama administration’s agenda for executive action, namely its
regulations clamping down on the for-profit college industry as well as
its desire to put into effect its full proposal for a college ratings
system.
Policy priorities led by Senate Democrats that affect higher
education are also expected to take a back seat under Republican
leadership. Some of those proposals, such as allowing existing student
loan borrowers to lower their interest rates, were featured prominently
in Democratic campaign ads this year. Senate Democrats had also pushed
new policies that sought to hold colleges more accountable for loan
defaults and clamp down further on for-profit institutions.
The shift in power is likely to result in continued deadlock on
higher education and other issues, especially since Republicans will not
enjoy veto-proof margins in either chamber. As a result, they'll be
unlikely to enact into law policies that the administration would reject
(such as blocking of gainful employment).
New Committee Leadership
The next Congress will bring fairly significant changes to the
lawmakers in charge of shepherding higher education legislation through
the House and Senate; last night’s Republican victories are expected to
catapult Senator Lamar Alexander to chairman of the Senate education
committee from his current post as ranking member.
Alexander, a former U.S. education secretary and university
president, has said that his higher education priority will be reducing
federal regulation of college and universities. He has also pushed
strongly a simplification of the Free Application for Federal Student
Aid, known as the FAFSA, as well as some student loan and grant
programs.
Alexander has said he wants to “start from scratch” on rewriting the
Higher Education Act in an attempt to de-clutter the massive statute
that governs federal student aid.
But beyond removing federal requirements viewed as burdensome and
streamlining student aid programs, Alexander has not said publicly what
else he wants to see in a new Higher Education Act.
One question for the next Congress will be the extent to which
Alexander embraces some of the other “more imaginative” higher education
policy ideas that have been offered in recent years by other
Republicans, said Andrew Kelly, who directs higher education research at
the American Enterprise Institute.
Several of those ideas, which have been put forward by
Senators Mike Lee and
Marco Rubio
and Representative Paul Ryan, revolve around making it easier for
nontraditional programs to get access to federal aid through new
accreditation entities.
“Alexander doesn’t seem as skeptical of the accreditation system as
some other Republican lawmakers, so I don’t know that those would be at
the top of his list,” Kelly said. “But it’s a big question mark.”
Kelly said that he sees an opportunity for a Republican-led Congress
to embrace “some of the more imaginative ideas out there” by those
Republicans, “who see student debt and college affordability as a
campaign issue that families, their constituents are going to care about
for a long time coming.”
In the House, Representative John Kline, Republican of Minnesota, is
expected to continue as the chairman of the education committee. Kline
won his re-election bid last night in spite of a high-profile
effort by the comedian Bill Maher to unseat the seven-term Congressman, in part, because of his support of for-profit colleges.
Democrats, meanwhile, are losing two longtime education policy makers to retirement, as Senator
Tom Harkin of Iowa and Representative
George Miller of California leave Congress.
Senator Patty Murray of Washington, who currently chairs the budget
committee, is expected to become the top Democrat on the Senate
education committee. In the House, Representative Bobby Scott of
Virginia is in line to take Miller’s place as the top Democrat on that
chamber’s education panel.
Several other Democrats who had played prominent roles on higher ed
issues lost their re-election battles. In the House, Reps. Tim Bishop
(N.Y.) and John Tierney (Mass.) were both aggressive advocates for
colleges and students -- Tierney more of a partisan bulldog, Bishop
having developed his expertise as a longtime college administrator, at
Long Island's Southampton College.
Sen. Kay Hagan, a North Carolina Democrat, also lost her re-election bid; she has been a member of the Senate's education panel.
A New Budget Dynamic
Beyond changes to the make-up of the education committees, higher
education advocates said that they’re concerned about what a completely
Republican Congress would mean for funding to student aid and academic
research.
While both research and financial aid have historically enjoyed
relatively strong bipartisan support from both Democrats and
Republicans, advocates said that the more austere budgetary conditions
that Republicans are likely to create may not bode well for funding to
those discretionary programs.
“We’ve got a number of conservative Republicans who have been
pointing to the Budget Control Act and sequestration and the fact that
that has contributed to deficit reduction,” said M. Matthew Owens, vice
president for federal relations at the Association of American
Universities. Those automatic budget cuts and limitations on the overall
pool of money available to be allocated to domestic programs will
“hamstring the ability of Congress to make investment in scientific
research and student aid,” he said.
“We have a number of Democratic leaders who have made it clear that
they would like to see some relief from the Budget Control Act caps,” he
said. “In that environment it would be less difficult for scientific
research and financial aid.”
Another round of automatic budget cuts, set to take effect in the
2016 fiscal year, is “less likely to be averted with Republican control
of the Senate,” said David Baime, senior vice president for government
relations and research at the American Association of Community
Colleges. He noted, though, that there was bipartisan support to provide
some relief from budget caps in last year’s agreement to fund the
government after the shutdown.
“There is a lot of concern on our campuses about the implications of a
sequester taking effect in 2016 and what that might mean for specific
programs,” Baime said. “If the overall budget pie gets shrunk through
sequestration, you could see it meaning a narrower slicer for many
programs that benefit our students and our colleges.”
Justin Draeger, president of the National Association of Student
Financial Aid Administrators, said that advocates for student aid may
find themselves in the position of having to stave off reductions or
fight for at least flat funding. Increased funding appears to be far out
of reach, he said.
“We’re not going to see significant new investments either way,
simply based on where we’ve seen Republican talking points and rhetoric
on cutting spending,” he said.
Draeger also said that colleges would have concerns about Alexander’s
efforts to simplify federal loan and grant programs if they were to
lead to effective cuts to the money the federal government spends on
student aid.
“We want to be sure that simplification doesn’t become a way for us
to make cuts to students,” he said. “We would draw a pretty bright line
in paying down the deficits on the backs of students.”
However, Draeger said, Alexander had been “willing to engage” on the
issue, and there was likely common ground over making loan programs
easier for students to access.
More Roadblocks to Obama Agenda
President Obama’s plan to develop a ratings system for higher
education and then link colleges’ performance in the ratings to their
federal aid has always faced long odds since it was announced in August
2013. The administration has, on its own, been putting together the
ratings system, an outline of which is set to be publicly released in
the coming weeks.
But the White House would need Congressional approval to tie the
ratings to federal funding. That proposal has already received a cool
reception among many Democrats on Capitol Hill, not to mention the
Republicans who have actively sought to block the Education Department’s
power to produce any type of ratings system.
Republican control of the Senate now means that the president’s goal
of linking student aid to colleges’ performance in a ratings system has
an even slimmer chance, if any, of becoming law.
“A united Republican Congress, I think, basically spells a death
knell for any effort to tie college ratings to student aid,” said Kelly,
the AEI scholar.
The Obama administration’s other higher education policy efforts are
also likely to come under greater scrutiny by newly empowered
Republicans in the Senate, especially its recently released “gainful
employment” rule that targets mostly for-profit colleges.
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